ĐÂY LÀ BẢNG THĂM DÒ Ở MỖI TIỂU BANG CÓ GHI CON SỐ CỬ TRI ĐOÀN (ELECTORAL VOTES) - NẾU THĂM DÒ NẦY TRUNG THỰC CHO THẤY ĐẢNG CỘNG HÒA SẼ CÓ PHIẾU CỬ TRI ĐOÀN THẤP HƠN ĐẢNG DÂN CHỦ.

*Nếu nhìn vào bản đồ sẽ thấy MÀU ĐỎ CỘNG HÒA chiếm diện tích rất lớn nhưng số cử tri đoàn lại ít hơn màu xanh Dân Chủ./-Mt68

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Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote.Use the table below to sort states by name, forecasted margin of victory or two different metrics of how much influence they have over the outcome.A state’s tipping-point chance is the probability it will give the Electoral College winner their 270th electoral vote. The Voter Power Index (VPI) is a relative measure of how likely an individual voter in that state is to determine the outcome of the election.95% of outcomes fall in this range Forecasted margin of victory

Democrats 

226 

 225 

 Republicans

191

 

34

 

1

 

87

 

6

 

94

 

125

70.8

11.7%

Nevada6 EVs

D+1.3

100.0

4.3%

Pennsylvania19 EVs

D+1.6

68.5

17.0%

Wisconsin10 EVs

D+2.2

74.8

7.8%

Michigan15 EVs

D+2.8

62.8

11.7%

Florida30 EVs

R+3.6

33.2

9.8%

Texas40 EVs

R+5.1

31.2

6.6%

Maine’s 2nd District1 EV

R+5.6

23.6

0.2%

Nebraska’s 2nd District1 EV

D+5.9

44.7

0.4%

Minnesota10 EVs

D+7.0

38.3

3.7%

New Hampshire4 EVs

D+7.4

60.5

1.4%

Iowa6 EVs

R+8.1

16.1

0.4%

Ohio17 EVs

R+8.3

10.8

0.8%

Virginia13 EVs

D+8.6

29.0

2.7%

Alaska3 EVs

R+9.5

30.7

0.2%

New Mexico5 EVs

D+9.6

35.4

0.8%

Maine2 EVs

D+9.7

17.1

0.4%

South Carolina9 EVs

R+12.0

5.0

0.1%

Missouri10 EVs

R+12.9

2.8

0.4%

Colorado10 EVs

D+13.0

9.1

0.3%

Oregon8 EVs

D+14.7

4.9

0.1%

Kansas6 EVs

R+15.0

2.3

0.0%

New Jersey14 EVs

D+15.1

2.6

0.1%

Nebraska’s 1st District1 EV

R+15.5

1.7

0.0%

Montana4 EVs

R+15.6

3.6

0.0%

Illinois19 EVs

D+16.1

4.5

0.1%

Indiana11 EVs

R+16.4

0.9

0.0%

Mississippi6 EVs

R+16.7

1.9

0.0%

Delaware3 EVs

D+18.1

4.3

0.0%

Washington12 EVs

D+18.4

1.7

0.0%

Louisiana8 EVs

R+18.8

0.2

0.0%

Nebraska2 EVs

R+18.9

0.4

0.0%

New York28 EVs

D+19.0

1.6

0.0%

Connecticut7 EVs

D+19.6

1.1

0.0%

Rhode Island4 EVs

D+19.7

2.7

0.0%

Utah6 EVs

R+21.4

0.3

0.0%

Maine’s 1st District1 EV

D+23.5

0.1

0.0%

Tennessee11 EVs

R+23.8

0.3

0.0%

Alabama9 EVs

R+26.1

0.0

0.0%

Kentucky8 EVs

R+26.2

0.2

0.0%

South Dakota3 EVs

R+26.7

0.0

0.0%

Arkansas6 EVs

R+26.9

0.3

0.0%

California54 EVs

D+27.0

0.5

0.0%

Hawaii4 EVs

D+28.7

0.2

0.0%

Maryland10 EVs

D+30.0

0.2

0.0%

Idaho4 EVs

R+31.3

0.0

0.0%

Massachusetts11 EVs

D+32.3

0.0

0.0%

Oklahoma7 EVs

R+32.5

0.0

0.0%

North Dakota3 EVs

R+33.7

0.0

0.0%

Vermont3 EVs

D+34.9

0.0

0.0%

West Virginia4 EVs

R+38.7

0.0

0.0%

Wyoming3 EVs

R+43.9

0.0

0.0%

Nebraska’s 3rd District1 EV

R+53.3

0.0

0.0%

District of Columbia3 EVs

D+85.7

0.0

0.0%