BỨC TRANH VÂN CẨU VẼ NGƯỜI PHE TRUMP TANG THƯƠNG -TRỪ KHI NGỰA VỀ NGƯỢC./-Mt68

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United States  ·  2026 midterm elections forecast

The midterm elections are on 3 November 2026.

Democrats have a 96% chance of winning the House and a 61% chance of winning 51 or more Senate seats. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead by 7.5 points. Updated 7 October 2026.

Updated 7 Oct 2026/How this is made

House of Representatives · 435 seats

Democrats 96%, Republicans 4%

Chance of winning 218 seats or more.

Senate · 35 seats contested

Democrats win 51 or more seats: 61%

Republicans control the Senate in 31%, including 50–50 outcomes.

President · approval rating

Trump's approval rating is 36%

61.4% disapprove.